Viareggio vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CUO
1 - 1
FCV
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 1
VFC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASG
2 - 1
FCV
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FCV
2 - 0
BV5
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASF
0 - 1
FCV
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ACP
1 - 1
VIN
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACP
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
ACP
3 - 1
ACS
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACP
2 - 1
VFC
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CUO
2 - 1
ACP
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | -2 |