Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 1
ERZ
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HAN
2 - 0
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCN
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
6 - 2
ERZ
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCU
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
STU
3 - 1
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 1
STU
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
STU
3 - 1
ARB
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KSC
1 - 3
STU
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
STU
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |