Erzgebirge Aue vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2000 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERZ
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
TEN
2 - 3
ERZ
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 0
LOK
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 3
LAS
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DRE
0 - 0
ERZ
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MAG
8 - 1
LAS
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PLA
0 - 2
MAG
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
MAG
3 - 1
ERF
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
MAG
0 - 0
SAC
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
SGD
1 - 0
MAG
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |