2. Liga Round 15

Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

Erzgebirge Aue Ingolstadt 04
70 ELO 66
-6.2% Tilt 1.6%
1279º General ELO ranking 838º
61º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
25.4%
Draw
21.5%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.5%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-11%
-9%
Ingolstadt 04

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2010
COT
Energie Cottbus
6 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
57%
24%
20%
71 74 3 0
21 Nov. 2010
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
42%
27%
31%
71 72 1 0
12 Nov. 2010
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
71 67 4 0
05 Nov. 2010
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
47%
27%
26%
70 69 1 +1
29 Oct. 2010
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
70 73 3 0

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2010
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
49%
25%
27%
65 66 1 0
20 Nov. 2010
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 4
Ingolstadt 04
ING
67%
20%
13%
64 72 8 +1
14 Nov. 2010
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
41%
26%
34%
64 68 4 0
05 Nov. 2010
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Energie Cottbus
COT
31%
26%
43%
65 74 9 -1
30 Oct. 2010
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
66%
22%
12%
65 81 16 0