Erzgebirge Aue vs Dresdner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BFC
0 - 1
ERZ
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
4 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCU
1 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 2
CZJ
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BAB
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dresdner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
DRE
2 - 0
LAS
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PLA
3 - 1
DRE
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
DRE
4 - 0
SAC
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SGD
2 - 2
DRE
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
DRE
3 - 0
VFL
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |