Bundesliga U19 Group C Round 1

Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs Union Berlin U19 analysis

Erzgebirge Aue U19 Union Berlin U19
23 ELO 27
0.7% Tilt -1.4%
11286º General ELO ranking 9845º
540º Country ELO ranking 467º
ELO win probability
39.1%
Erzgebirge Aue U19
22.5%
Draw
38.4%
Union Berlin U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue U19
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
38.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin U19
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue U19
-38%
-15%
Union Berlin U19

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue U19
Union Berlin U19
Hertha BSC U19
Chemnitzer FC U19
Dynamo Dresden U19
1. FC Magdeburg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue U19
Erzgebirge Aue U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
CZJ
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue U19
ERA
52%
21%
28%
25 24 1 0
10 May. 2025
ERA
Erzgebirge Aue U19
3 - 0
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
SJR
87%
9%
4%
25 9 16 0
03 May. 2025
NUR
Nürnberg U19
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue U19
ERA
68%
17%
15%
24 28 4 +1
26 Apr. 2025
ERA
Erzgebirge Aue U19
3 - 3
Ingolstadt U19
ING
37%
23%
40%
23 26 3 +1
13 Apr. 2025
ERA
Erzgebirge Aue U19
3 - 1
Rot-Weiss Walldorf U19
RWW
75%
14%
11%
22 15 7 +1

Matches

Union Berlin U19
Union Berlin U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
4 - 1
Union Berlin U19
UBE
74%
16%
11%
26 41 15 0
06 Apr. 2025
UBE
Union Berlin U19
2 - 1
Unterhaching U19
UNT
65%
18%
17%
26 21 5 0
30 Mar. 2025
BOR
B. Dortmund U19
2 - 0
Union Berlin U19
UBE
78%
13%
9%
26 41 15 0
22 Mar. 2025
LEI
RB Leipzig U19
1 - 1
Union Berlin U19
UBE
66%
18%
16%
26 34 8 0
09 Mar. 2025
UBE
Union Berlin U19
2 - 4
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
33%
23%
45%
27 33 6 -1