FC Erlensee vs TSV Steinbach Haiger II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
19º
10º
25
8º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 62 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 60 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RWW
0 - 2
FCE
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
FVB
2 - 1
FCE
25%
23%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 3
SGB
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 1
RWW
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 2
FCE
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TSV
3 - 5
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
KOB
3 - 0
TSV
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
TSV
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 2
FCE
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 0
TSV
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |