FC Erlensee vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
41.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
19º
10º
46
9º
19º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 62 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 60 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VIK
3 - 1
FCE
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
EIN
3 - 1
FCE
69%
16%
14%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 2
SUF
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FCE
4 - 1
ROT
42%
21%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
EIN
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 4
WAL
18%
18%
65%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 3
RWW
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
WAL
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 0
GIE
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |