FC Erlensee vs FC Hanau 93 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
17º
17º
34
3º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
STE
3 - 2
FCE
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 3
TUR
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAU
3 - 0
FCE
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 0
HUN
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCE
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hanau 93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
HSC
5 - 1
FCH
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
FCH
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCH
6 - 4
RWW
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +4 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCH
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |