Esiliiga Round 18

FC Elva vs Tartu Welco analysis

FC Elva Tartu Welco
40 ELO 42
3.9% Tilt 0.3%
2507º General ELO ranking 1774º
15º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
43.8%
FC Elva
24.8%
Draw
31.4%
Tartu Welco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
FC Elva
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
Tartu Welco
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Elva
+25%
+8%
Tartu Welco

ELO progression

FC Elva
Tartu Welco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2017
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 3
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
19%
20%
61%
42 50 8 0
15 Jun. 2017
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
19%
21%
59%
42 53 11 0
04 Jun. 2017
FCE
FC Elva
4 - 3
Maardu FC
MAA
12%
17%
72%
41 56 15 +1
28 May. 2017
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 2
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
17%
24%
60%
41 61 20 0
24 May. 2017
TFS
Tartu FC Santos
6 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
78%
14%
9%
42 51 9 -1

Matches

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2017
WEL
Tartu Welco
0 - 0
Tartu FC Santos
TFS
22%
22%
57%
41 51 10 0
21 Jun. 2017
RAP
Raplamaa
0 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
22%
21%
58%
41 28 13 0
17 Jun. 2017
KUR
Kuressaare
2 - 2
Tartu Welco
WEL
84%
11%
5%
40 53 13 +1
01 Jun. 2017
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 3
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
37%
25%
38%
42 46 4 -2
28 May. 2017
TIN
Tallinna Infonet II
5 - 0
Tartu Welco
WEL
80%
12%
8%
43 51 8 -1