Esiliiga Round 19

FC Elva vs Alliance FC analysis

FC Elva Alliance FC
47 ELO 30
10.3% Tilt 1.1%
2523º General ELO ranking 28774º
15º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
79.3%
FC Elva
13.6%
Draw
7.1%
Alliance FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
FC Elva
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
Alliance FC
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

FC Elva
Their league position
Alliance FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
20
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nõmme United
90
90
100%
Viimsi JK
71
71
100%
FC Flora Tallin II
69
69
100%
Levadia Tallinn II
57
57
100%
Tabasalu Charma
55
55
100%
FC Tallinn
52
52
100%
Paide II
41
41
100%
FC Elva
40
40
100%
TJK Legion
21
21
100%
Alliance FC
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Elva
Alliance FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

FC Elva
Alliance FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2023
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 3
Paide II
PAI
53%
21%
26%
48 44 4 0
10 Jun. 2023
FCT
FC Tallinn
3 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
61%
21%
18%
49 54 5 -1
04 Jun. 2023
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
29%
24%
47%
50 56 6 -1
29 May. 2023
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 2
Nõmme United
NOM
20%
20%
60%
51 60 9 -1
25 May. 2023
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
2 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
70%
17%
13%
51 56 5 0

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2023
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 6
Nõmme United
NOM
7%
13%
80%
31 62 31 0
10 Jun. 2023
JKJ
Alliance FC
1 - 0
TJK Legion
TJK
18%
18%
64%
29 45 16 +2
04 Jun. 2023
FCT
FC Tallinn
5 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
88%
9%
3%
29 53 24 0
29 May. 2023
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 6
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
8%
15%
77%
30 56 26 -1
25 May. 2023
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
5 - 2
Alliance FC
JKJ
92%
6%
2%
30 54 24 0