Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
FCE
1 - 6
FCD
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
MVV
2 - 0
FCD
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FCD
4 - 2
ACH
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 2
FCD
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
JON
4 - 1
VVV
21%
27%
52%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
TEL
3 - 1
JON
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
JON
2 - 1
FCO
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FCE
4 - 0
JON
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
JON
3 - 1
MVV
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |