Eerste Divisie Round 12

Dordrecht vs De Graafschap analysis

Dordrecht De Graafschap
45 ELO 72
19.3% Tilt 16.9%
626º General ELO ranking 663º
21º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
7.8%
Dordrecht
16.3%
Draw
75.9%
De Graafschap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
Dordrecht
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.9%
Win probability
De Graafschap
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dordrecht
+6%
-3%
De Graafschap

ELO progression

Dordrecht
De Graafschap
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dordrecht
Dordrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2020
EIN
FC Eindhoven
5 - 1
Dordrecht
FCD
65%
20%
16%
47 56 9 0
03 Nov. 2020
FCD
Dordrecht
0 - 3
Jong Utrecht
JUT
36%
24%
40%
48 53 5 -1
27 Oct. 2020
FCD
Dordrecht
2 - 4
Utrecht
UTR
7%
14%
80%
48 81 33 0
23 Oct. 2020
VOL
FC Volendam
7 - 1
Dordrecht
FCD
78%
15%
7%
49 65 16 -1
18 Oct. 2020
FCD
Dordrecht
2 - 2
Almere City
ALM
18%
21%
61%
48 64 16 +1

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2020
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
59%
22%
20%
72 67 5 0
07 Nov. 2020
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 5
FC Volendam
VOL
60%
21%
19%
73 66 7 -1
30 Oct. 2020
FCO
TOP Oss
0 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
11%
19%
70%
73 53 20 0
27 Oct. 2020
TWE
Twente
1 - 3
De Graafschap
GRA
39%
24%
36%
72 72 0 +1
23 Oct. 2020
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 1
Jong PSV
PSV
72%
17%
11%
71 57 14 +1