FC Deren vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
3º
3º
33
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 3
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
KHC
74%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 9
DER
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
2 - 3
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DER
10 - 0
KHA
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
2 - 3
KHA
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
TBF
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 2
KHO
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
8 - 2
ULC
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 10
TBF
16%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |