FC Deren vs Tuv Buganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
3º
3º
33
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 3
DER
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
KHC
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 9
DER
12%
17%
72%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
2 - 3
DER
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DER
10 - 0
KHA
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tuv Buganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
2 - 3
KHA
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
TBF
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 2
KHO
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
8 - 2
ULC
49%
20%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 10
TBF
14%
17%
70%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |