UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-11
FC Daugava vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
7 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
UPE
0 - 4
FCD
4%
9%
87%
|
77 | 10 | 67 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
FKJ
0 - 3
FCD
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 1
VEN
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
FKD
0 - 1
FCD
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
7 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
2 - 2
HAL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 1
ATV
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
ELF
5 - 1
SYR
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
38%
27%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |