FC Daugava vs FC Jurmala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
JFK
1 - 3
FCD
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 2
FCD
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
24%
25%
52%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
0 - 3
FCD
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
FC Jurmala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 4
LIE
21%
24%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FKJ
0 - 2
FCJ
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 0
FKD
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
JFK
1 - 2
FCJ
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 0
GUL
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |