Crotone vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
CRO
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 1
ARZ
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PES
1 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
CRO
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 0
SSS
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASL
47%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAS
0 - 4
TAR
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TAR
1 - 0
POT
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
JUS
1 - 2
TAR
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TAR
1 - 0
VIR
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |