Crotone vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
USF
2 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
GIU
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 1
CRO
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SSS
1 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
SSS
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 1
LAQ
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
SSS
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |