Crotone vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 2
CRO
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 2
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PES
3 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 2
PES
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
PES
3 - 1
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 4
PES
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |