Crotone vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 1
CRO
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 2
CRO
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
VIS
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 1
FCC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
TAR
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
5 - 0
FER
59%
25%
17%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
TER
1 - 2
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
FCC
34%
31%
35%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 0
FER
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |