Crotone vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CRO
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
PIS
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
ASC
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NUO
1 - 0
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 3
LEC
39%
25%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 0
NUO
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USC
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
BEN
8%
20%
73%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 1
CTT
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |