Crotone vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
VER
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CRO
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
CTT
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 3
ASC
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
2 - 1
ASG
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VER
3 - 2
CTT
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |