Oberliga Bayern Nord round 5

FC Coburg vs Feucht SC analysis

FC Coburg Feucht SC
22 ELO 23
8.7% Tilt -5.4%
35655º General ELO ranking 17258º
1433º Country ELO ranking 655º
ELO win probability
41.7%
FC Coburg
22.1%
Draw
36.2%
Feucht SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
FC Coburg
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.2%
Win probability
Feucht SC
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

FC Coburg
Their league position
Feucht SC
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
18º
16º
16
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Coburg
Feucht SC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

FC Coburg
Feucht SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Coburg
FC Coburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
AMM
Ammerthal
1 - 4
FC Coburg
FCC
86%
10%
5%
20 36 16 0
29 Jul. 2023
FCC
FC Coburg
2 - 6
Eltersdorf
ELT
11%
16%
73%
21 41 20 -1
26 Jul. 2023
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
0 - 2
FC Coburg
FCC
75%
15%
10%
20 30 10 +1
22 Jul. 2023
FCC
FC Coburg
1 - 4
Würzburger FV
WUR
31%
23%
46%
21 27 6 -1
05 Apr. 2023
FCL
FC Lichtenfels
2 - 4
FC Coburg
FCC
59%
21%
20%
20 23 3 +1

Matches

Feucht SC
Feucht SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
BAY
Bayern Hof
3 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
51%
22%
27%
24 26 2 0
26 Jul. 2023
FEU
Feucht SC
0 - 0
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
45%
22%
33%
24 23 1 0
21 Jul. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
56%
21%
23%
24 27 3 0
27 May. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
6 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
70%
17%
13%
25 35 10 -1
20 May. 2023
FEU
Feucht SC
2 - 3
ASV Cham
ASV
32%
23%
45%
25 29 4 0