Catanzaro vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 0
FCC
52%
29%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TER
2 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
CES
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSS
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
5 - 0
MOD
56%
28%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
42%
31%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |