Catanzaro vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
AKR
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 3
USF
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
FCC
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
2 - 0
CAT
10%
22%
68%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAT
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAT
17%
26%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
MON
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |