Catanzaro vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
CES
4 - 1
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 2
ATL
14%
25%
60%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
PIA
2 - 1
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAN
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
FCC
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 0
PES
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
CAT
0 - 0
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
USC
2 - 4
CAT
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAT
0 - 0
RIM
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |