Catanzaro vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCC
41%
33%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
FCC
2 - 0
USF
54%
28%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
FCC
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
26%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 3
FCC
51%
29%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 0
CES
54%
29%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
MAN
1 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
CAT
2 - 0
MAN
48%
32%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
MAN
1 - 0
BRI
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAN
57%
28%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 0
GEN
55%
27%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |