Catanzaro vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1960 |
ASS
0 - 0
FCC
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
1 - 1
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
MAN
3 - 0
VNZ
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 1
MAN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |