Castiglione vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACC
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
FCC
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
FCC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 0
DAR
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 1
VIN
31%
27%
42%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 2
ACM
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
LEC
53%
25%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 0
VIN
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
USP
0 - 0
VIN
51%
26%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |