FC Bocholt vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
13º
17º
15º
22
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 64 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RWA
2 - 2
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 2
WUP
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 0
FCB
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 2
FOR
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 1
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 0
WIE
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 0
KÖL
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +5 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RWA
8 - 0
WAT
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 4
WUP
13%
20%
68%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PRE
4 - 1
WAT
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |