National Round 14

FC Borgo vs Red Star analysis

FC Borgo Red Star
51 ELO 65
18.5% Tilt -6.2%
5006º General ELO ranking 1127º
105º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
22.9%
FC Borgo
25.7%
Draw
51.4%
Red Star

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
FC Borgo
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.4%
Win probability
Red Star
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Borgo
-11%
+3%
Red Star

Points and table prediction

FC Borgo
Their league position
Red Star
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
18º
18º
60
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Concarneau
62
63
100%
USL Dunkerque
62
62
100%
Red Star
60
60
100%
FC Martigues
60
60
100%
Versailles
51
51
100%
Villefranche
46
46
0%
Avranches
45
46
0%
CS Sedan
46
46
0%
Cholet
45
45
100%
Orléans
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Chateauroux
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Le Mans
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Nancy
13º
41
42
13º
100%
Bourg-Péronnas
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Stade Briochin
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Le Puy
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Paris 13 Atletico
17º
31
31
17º
100%
FC Borgo
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Borgo
Red Star
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

FC Borgo
Red Star
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Borgo
FC Borgo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2022
SED
CS Sedan
2 - 1
FC Borgo
FBB
57%
25%
19%
52 60 8 0
11 Nov. 2022
FBB
FC Borgo
2 - 3
Villefranche
VIL
25%
26%
49%
53 64 11 -1
04 Nov. 2022
STA
Stade Briochin
2 - 2
FC Borgo
FBB
58%
24%
18%
52 60 8 +1
29 Oct. 2022
NÎM
Nîmes
3 - 0
FC Borgo
FBB
68%
19%
13%
53 63 10 -1
21 Oct. 2022
FBB
FC Borgo
2 - 1
Chateauroux
CHA
27%
27%
47%
52 63 11 +1

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2022
RED
Red Star
1 - 0
Nancy
ASN
53%
24%
23%
64 59 5 0
11 Nov. 2022
CON
Concarneau
0 - 0
Red Star
RED
47%
27%
27%
64 67 3 0
07 Nov. 2022
RED
Red Star
4 - 2
USL Dunkerque
DUN
49%
26%
25%
63 60 3 +1
29 Oct. 2022
VAL
Valenciennes
1 - 1
Red Star
RED
46%
25%
30%
63 65 2 0
24 Oct. 2022
ORL
Orléans
0 - 0
Red Star
RED
44%
26%
30%
63 63 0 0