FC Borgo vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
11º
1º
4
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 2
FBB
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBB
1 - 0
DIV
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
GRQ
0 - 4
FBB
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FBB
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 0
FBB
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AGC
1 - 6
SAI
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AGC
1 - 4
ALE
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
5 - 0
AGC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
AGC
2 - 4
DIV
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GRQ
2 - 1
AGC
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |