FC Basel U18 vs Aarau U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
30
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
TTI
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCB
7%
12%
81%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
5 - 1
SFC
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCB
12%
15%
74%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCB
6 - 0
NXA
91%
6%
3%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LSS
2 - 1
TAA
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TAA
1 - 5
FCZ
29%
22%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TWC
3 - 1
TAA
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 3
BYB
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GCZ
4 - 2
TAA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |