FC Basel U18 II vs FC Luzern-Kriens U18 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
12º
1º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 5
FCB
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 0
RAP
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 4
FCB
40%
22%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
SCH
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
FCB
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Luzern-Kriens U18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TEA
6 - 0
SUD
7%
13%
79%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 1
TEA
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TEA
0 - 2
RAP
6%
12%
82%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 3
TEA
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TEA
1 - 1
SCH
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +1 |