Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 1
BAN
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AVA
4 - 1
BKM
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 5
AVA
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 1
AVA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
ARA
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 3
SHI
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
SHI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
NOA
25%
29%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
BKM
0 - 0
SHI
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |