Ararat-Armenia vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 1
VAN
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
AVA
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
ARA
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
LER
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 4
BAN
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
LER
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |