Ararat-Armenia vs FC Van analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
40
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
AVA
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 1
AVA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAN
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 1
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 0
VAN
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 5
BAN
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
5 - 1
VAN
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
VAN
4 - 0
LER
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |