Ararat-Armenia vs FC Lori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 0
ARA
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
3 - 1
AVA
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
8 - 0
ERE
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 2
AVA
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
NOA
1 - 2
AVA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
GAN
1 - 7
FCL
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
FCL
3 - 0
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
SHI
1 - 2
FCL
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 0
NOA
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 0
ARA
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |