Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 2
AVA
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 0
WAR
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PYU
1 - 1
AVA
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
BAN
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 0
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
BKM
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 3
SHI
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BKM
6 - 0
AND
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
NOA
3 - 0
BKM
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |