Bundesliga Round 15

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg analysis

FC Augsburg SC Freiburg
78 ELO 81
-8.7% Tilt -3.7%
86º General ELO ranking 37º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.7%
FC Augsburg
27.4%
Draw
39%
SC Freiburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
SC Freiburg
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg
+9%
+1%
SC Freiburg

ELO progression

FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2012
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
69%
19%
12%
78 86 8 0
25 Nov. 2012
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
29%
26%
45%
78 85 7 0
17 Nov. 2012
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
58%
23%
19%
78 81 3 0
10 Nov. 2012
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 3
B. Dortmund
BVB
12%
20%
68%
78 91 13 0
03 Nov. 2012
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
68%
19%
13%
78 85 7 0

Matches

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2012
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
9%
17%
74%
81 94 13 0
25 Nov. 2012
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
25%
24%
51%
81 87 6 0
17 Nov. 2012
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
64%
20%
16%
80 86 6 +1
10 Nov. 2012
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
38%
25%
36%
80 82 2 0
03 Nov. 2012
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
54%
23%
22%
80 84 4 0