FC Augsburg vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
AUG
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
AUG
0 - 0
FCN
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
AUG
3 - 1
AAA
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WEH
1 - 2
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AUG
2 - 0
ROS
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 1
WEH
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 1
MSV
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
OSN
1 - 1
MSV
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MSV
0 - 0
KAI
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 3
MSV
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |