Aegeri vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 3
FCA
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
FCA
5 - 1
GOL
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 1
FCA
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCM
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 0
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 2
BUO
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 5
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 3
SAR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LSS
3 - 1
SAR
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 1
OLT
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |