Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 4
FCA
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
45%
22%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 2
YVE
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 4
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 1
STA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIN
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
YVE
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |