Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCA
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 2
WOH
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCV
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
WIN
4 - 4
NEX
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
WIN
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |