Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCA
2%
5%
92%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 3
FCV
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 7
FCA
2%
4%
94%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
YVE
3 - 0
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
KRI
0 - 2
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
WIL
33%
23%
44%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |