Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 5
RAP
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ZUR
4 - 3
FCA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
KRI
1 - 2
FCA
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCV
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
YOB
4 - 2
WIL
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 4
GCZ
21%
21%
58%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 2
LAU
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 0
WIL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 2
SCH
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |