Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
5 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
YVE
0 - 1
WIL
35%
24%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
ZUR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 1
YOB
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |