Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCA
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SER
5 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 1
ZUR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
GCZ
25%
22%
54%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
7 - 1
WIL
75%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 5
THU
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |