Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
KRI
1 - 3
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 3
STA
52%
23%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 2
FCA
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
21%
24%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
THU
3 - 1
GCZ
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
THU
0 - 0
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
CHI
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |