Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
YOB
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
YOB
4 - 2
THU
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 2
THU
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
GCZ
4 - 0
THU
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |